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Growth partnerships for New Brunswick HVAC companies

New Brunswick is a heat-pump and electric-heat market whose oil-to-heat-pump program closed in mid-2026, so any partnership baseline has to treat the last two years with care.

Written by Ali Sedighi, MBALast updated:

New Brunswick's HVAC market has been reshaped by heat pumps. They are now the main heating system in more than a quarter of homes, electricity heats more again, and an oil-to-heat-pump program kept many installers busy until registration closed at the end of June 2026. That last point matters most for a performance-based partnership: if the past year was inflated by a program that no longer exists, using it as the baseline would make honest marketing look like failure.

Our side of any partnership is marketing and advice. We are not an HVAC contractor and don't install, repair or service heat pumps or any other equipment.

The New Brunswick HVAC market

Demand centres on three small cities, Moncton, Saint John and Fredericton, plus their growing neighbours. Dieppe and Riverview sit beside Moncton, Quispamsis beside Saint John, and Miramichi and Edmundston serve wider regions.

Statistics Canada figures for 2023 show 39% of New Brunswick households heating mainly with electricity, 6% with wood, and heat pumps as the main system in 27% of homes. That makes heat-pump installation, replacement and servicing the core of most growth plans, with electric-to-heat-pump conversions as a large remaining audience.

Market size is the honest constraint. These are modest cities, and a partnership needs enough monthly booked work to measure change. A company doing 15 heat-pump installs a month can see a lift of 4 or 5; a company doing 3 cannot.

Seasonality and a fair baseline

Winters are cold and snowy, colder inland and in the north than along the Bay of Fundy, and heat-pump demand peaks in autumn ahead of them. We would set baselines by season and by region.

The bigger factor is the program history. Here is how we would handle it:

  • Mark the NB oil-to-heat-pump co-delivery closure (registration closed 2026-06-30, upgrades due by 2027-03-31) in the written baseline.
  • Compare post-closure months with pre-program months where your records allow, not with the program peak.
  • Track installs finished under the old program separately until the 2027-03-31 completion date passes.

Our guide to measuring results walks through this kind of adjustment.

Regulators and language

Technical Inspection Services covers most HVAC-related licensing and permits; we summarise and link, and we don't advise on compliance.

New Brunswick is Canada's only officially bilingual province. The Official Languages Act gives people the right to provincial services in English or French but doesn't require private businesses to be bilingual. Whether to market in both is a business decision based on who your customers are.

Programs, as of October 2026

NB Power's Save Energy NB programs remain the main incentives, after the oil program closed. Confirm current details with the administrator before advertising them.

  • The Total Home Energy Savings Program offers incentives for renovations including heating, windows and insulation.
  • The Enhanced Energy Savings Program, also listed by Save Energy NB, serves income-qualified households; details were not confirmed.
  • No federal-provincial Greener Homes Affordability agreement covered New Brunswick when we checked on 2026-10-22.

If a new program arrives during a partnership, we would mark its start date the same way we mark the oil program's end.

How we would approach a New Brunswick partnership

We would rebuild the baseline around the post-program market, then grow from there.

  1. Reconstruct a normal year from your records, excluding program-driven peaks.
  2. Pick the target work, usually electric-to-heat-pump conversions and heat-pump replacements.
  3. Set up tracking for calls, texts and booked jobs; see baseline and tracking.
  4. Agree the terms in writing, including how remaining program installs are counted.
  5. Build the channels, especially local search, which carries far in smaller cities, in one or both languages as your customers prefer.

Partnerships are limited and set case by case. Fixed-fee options are on the pricing page, and you can contact us by call, text or email.

Frequently asked questions

Why does the oil-to-heat-pump closure matter for a partnership?

Registration for the NB co-delivery program closed on 2026-06-30. If your recent busy months were driven by that program, they are not a fair baseline for the months after it, and we would adjust for that in writing.

Do I need French marketing in New Brunswick?

The Official Languages Act covers provincial government services and doesn't require private businesses to be bilingual. Many HVAC companies still market in both languages where their customers do, especially in Moncton, Dieppe and Edmundston.

Who regulates HVAC-related work in New Brunswick?

Technical Inspection Services, part of the Department of Public Safety, covers electrical, plumbing, gas, propane and pressure equipment. We link to it but don't give compliance advice.

Sources

  1. Statistics Canada Table 38-10-0286-01 (2026-10-22)
  2. GNB: Technical inspections (2026-10-22)
  3. GNB: Apprenticeship and occupational certification program (2026-10-22)
  4. WorkSafeNB (2026-10-22)
  5. Save Energy NB: For your home (2026-10-22)
  6. Save Energy NB (2026-10-22)
  7. OCOLNB: Frequently asked questions (2026-10-22)